Market Switch
Market Switch is a SPY volatility-switching bot. Holds one fund at a time, and switches when the market looks stretched.
Historical backtest, Nov 2011 to Nov 2026
In this historical backtest, $10,000 in Market Switch (Market Switch) became $34M, an average of +71.9% a year, with a worst fall of 42% from a peak. Holding S&P 500 over the same days turned $10,000 into $81,616 (+15.0% a year, worst fall 34%). These are simulations on past prices, not real trading.
| Same period | Avg / year | Worst fall | $10,000 became |
|---|---|---|---|
| Market Switch bot | +71.9% | −42% | $34M |
| S&P 500 held | +15.0% | −34% | $81,616 |
| Nasdaq 100 held | +19.2% | −35% | $139,480 |
"Fell" is the deepest drop from a high during that crash. "Back in" is how long until the account was worth what it was before the crash. *Before 2011 this uses the simulated three-fund version of the strategy.
Fell 42% within Mar 2020. Back at a new high by Jun 2020, 3 months after the bottom, and 102× from that bottom since.
The S&P 500 fell furthest over the same years: 34% (bottom in Mar 2020).
Rebalanced to 50/50 each month, from Nov 2011. An illustration, not advice.
About this test: Nearly half of its tested profit came from UVXY, and it failed outside the US.
How Market Switch decides
- Holds SPY when nothing unusual is happening.
- Switches to UVXY, a volatility fund, when many markets look overheated.
- Switches to leveraged funds after sharp falls, expecting a rebound.
Trades SPY, UVXY, TQQQ, SPXL, SOXL and others. Checks every trading day.
What to know before using it
A three-fund version on simulated funds from 2000 to 2011 turned $10,000 into $19.
Nearly half of its tested profit came from UVXY, and it failed outside the US.
Runs through Alpaca, Interactive Brokers, Tradier, tastytrade or TradeStation, after a paper trial. Read the risk disclosure.
Market Switch: common questions
How has Market Switch done in testing?
In a historical backtest from Nov 2011 to Nov 2026, Market Switch averaged +71.9% a year with a worst fall of 42%. Holding S&P 500 averaged +15.0% a year with a worst fall of 34%. Backtests are simulations on past prices and do not predict future results.
How often does Market Switch trade, and what does it buy?
It checks every trading day and trades SPY, UVXY, TQQQ, SPXL, SOXL and others. Orders are placed in your own broker account; AlgolaneBots never holds your money.
Which brokers can run Market Switch?
Alpaca (sign in with trade-only access), or Interactive Brokers, Tradier, tastytrade and TradeStation through the AlgolaneBots desktop app, which keeps your broker key on your own computer. You can try it free on a $10,000 paper account for 3 months first.